Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.002584 0.002754 0.002937 0.003150 0.003392 0.003661 0.003986
2025-01-05 0.002292 0.002518 0.002774 0.003092 0.003482 0.003954 0.004584
2025-01-12 0.002071 0.002319 0.002612 0.002991 0.003482 0.004117 0.005042
2025-01-19 0.001946 0.002215 0.002541 0.002981 0.003579 0.004404 0.005715
2025-01-26 0.001772 0.002032 0.002354 0.002796 0.003412 0.004292 0.005765
2025-02-02 0.001710 0.001983 0.002329 0.002818 0.003528 0.004598 0.006549
2025-02-09 0.001680 0.001971 0.002349 0.002900 0.003737 0.005082 0.007807
2025-02-16 0.001629 0.001929 0.002323 0.002913 0.003839 0.005407 0.008900
2025-02-23 0.001613 0.001930 0.002357 0.003014 0.004092 0.006052 0.011076
2025-03-02 0.001555 0.001870 0.002300 0.002970 0.004098 0.006233 0.012193
2025-03-09 0.001492 0.001801 0.002225 0.002895 0.004041 0.006271 0.012924
2025-03-16 0.001472 0.001790 0.002233 0.002949 0.004216 0.006842 0.015995
2025-03-23 0.001446 0.001772 0.002234 0.002998 0.004405 0.007540 0.021036
2025-03-30 0.001396 0.001718 0.002178 0.002949 0.004401 0.007783 0.024605
2025-04-06 0.001338 0.001651 0.002100 0.002857 0.004302 0.007749 0.026525
2025-04-13 0.001306 0.001618 0.002072 0.002849 0.004370 0.008202 0.034357
2025-04-20 0.001236 0.001530 0.001954 0.002678 0.004082 0.007556 0.029440
2025-04-27 0.001216 0.001513 0.001946 0.002698 0.004200 0.008157 0.041794
2025-05-04 0.001211 0.001516 0.001970 0.002774 0.004451 0.009305 0.089484
2025-05-11 0.001191 0.001498 0.001958 0.002786 0.004559 0.010039 0.221326
2025-05-18 0.001189 0.001506 0.001989 0.002879 0.004876 0.011842 NaN
2025-05-25 0.001161 0.001473 0.001951 0.002839 0.004860 0.012190 NaN
2025-06-01 0.001128 0.001433 0.001900 0.002770 0.004760 0.012092 NaN